“Experts” still surprised at economy…John Galt was not
Yesterday…Yahoo!: “unexpected jump in the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits”
Today…LA Times: The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell…At the same time, however, employers cut 20,000 jobs, more than the 5,000 economists expected…
From 50 years go…Atlas Shrugged [paper back page 1063] as spoken by John Galt.
“Only when men discovered that nature was a firm, predictable absolute were they able to rely on their knowledge, to choose their course, to plan their future and, slowly, to rise from the cave. Now you have placed modern industry, with its immense complexity of scientific precision, back into the power of unknowable demons-the unpredictable power of the arbitrary whims of hidden, ugly little bureaucrats. A farmer will not invest the effort of one summer if he’s unable to calculate his chances of a harvest. But you expect industrial giants-who plan in terms of decades, invest in terms of generations and undertake ninety-nine-year contracts-to continue to function and produce, not knowing what random caprice in the skull of what random official will descend upon them at what moment to demolish the whole of their effort. Drifters and physical laborers live and plan by the range of a day. The better the mind, the longer the range. A man whose vision extends to a shanty, might continue to build on your quicksands, to grab a fast profit and run. A man who envisions skyscrapers, will not. Nor will he give ten years of unswerving devotion to the task of inventing a new product, when he knows the gangs of entrenched mediocrity are juggling the laws against him, to tie him, restrict him and force him to fail, but should he fight them and struggle and succeed, they will seize his rewards and his invention.”
50 years ago Ayn knew it. Today the “experts” can’t seem to figure out such a simple concept. Or is it more likely that they know it and use such stories to keep you confused and in the dark? Are they they experts or are they trying to convince you that they are the experts?


Yet another example… U.S. inflation at the wholesale level rose more than expected in January…
With all this TARP money and Stimulus money taken from whole cloth it was “unexpected” that those employees would need to buy things (food and energy) and that in a recession those companies would raise prices to manage inventory. Add in the longer Winter in most of the country and yet the “experts” are still surprised.